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Overdose Deaths Plummet: Are Conservative Policies Finally Working?

Joe Rogan didn’t stumble on nothing — he shared a chart that a lot of Americans are finally seeing and Dave Rubin called it out, because the numbers on overdose deaths are too stark to ignore. For years the elite media treated enforcement as secondary to handwringing and “harm reduction” talking points, but when results turn up you’d think that would get more attention.

New federal data show overdose deaths fell sharply through much of 2025, with a sizable decline in the 12 months ending August 2025 compared with the prior year — a turnaround after the horrific peaks of recent years. This isn’t wishful thinking; it’s what public health statistics are now reporting.

That decline follows an earlier sign of easing: provisional CDC data already recorded a drop in 2023, the first year-to-year decrease since 2018, and showed reductions in deaths involving synthetic opioids that had driven the worst of the crisis. Those figures matter because they establish a trend away from the runaway increases that destroyed families and gutted communities just a few years ago.

President Trump has made enforcement a priority, authorizing strikes and tougher interdiction efforts against vessels and networks he identified as feeding the fentanyl scourge, and he’s loudly framed those actions as lifesaving. The administration’s moves have been controversial, but they were aimed at interrupting supply chains and signaling that drug trafficking will not be tolerated.

Critics and fact-checkers have pushed back on some of the administration’s claims — noting there’s limited public evidence about specific drugs on particular boats and that Venezuela is not traditionally considered the main source of fentanyl into our country. Those are fair technical points, but skeptics should not be allowed to rewrite the lesson that enforcement, interdiction, and pressure on supply chains can produce real declines in deaths.

Let’s be honest: if conservative policies that restore law and order, secure borders, and target the cartels are producing measurable improvement, the left-wing narrative that “treatment only” is the answer collapses. The drop in deaths coincides with multiple actions — diplomatic pressure, enforcement, and international cooperation — and Americans deserve leaders who will keep up the pressure rather than cede the field to smugglers and policy purists.

The mainstream press will try to claim coincidence or downplay the impact, but hardworking families don’t care about the academic purity of policy debates — they care that fewer neighbors are dead and fewer children are homeless. If the nation’s overdose tally keeps falling, conservatives should own the results, demand more of them, and push for continued enforcement plus treatment for those who need it.

Credit where it’s due: commentators like Rogan and Rubin helped get this conversation into the open, and that mattered because the truth is an engine of change. Now it’s on voters and leaders to double down on what works — secure borders, relentless enforcement against cartels, and real pathways to recovery — until American streets and homes are safe again.

Written by Keith Jacobs

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