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Iran’s Missile Threat Forces Israel to Rethink Defense Strategy

Israel faces a critical missile defense challenge as Iran’s expanding arsenal threatens to overwhelm its interception capabilities. Recent attacks highlight a dangerous asymmetry where Tehran’s missile production outpaces defensive countermeasures, forcing Israel to rely on strategic targeting and international support.

## Missile Capabilities and Defense Gaps
Iran currently possesses approximately with plans to expand to 8,000. Each recent attack has involved 65-75 missiles per salvo, with Israeli defenses intercepting 90-95% of projectiles. However, the – Israel’s primary defense against long-range threats – requires multiple interceptors per incoming missile, creating critical ammunition shortages during sustained attacks.

Key comparison of forces:
| Category | Iran | Israel |
|————————-|——————|———————-|
| Ballistic missiles | 2,000+ | Limited interceptor stockpiles |
| Daily launch capacity | 75 (current) | 50-60 interceptors/day |
| Production rate | 100/month | Dependency on U.S. resupply |

## Strategic Responses and Limitations
Israel’s military has shifted from pure defense to against launch sites, destroying half of Iran’s mobile launchers since June 13. This degradation strategy aims to reduce Iran’s daily attack capacity below 20 missiles by June 19. The U.S. has supplemented defenses by intercepting 15-20% of incoming threats, but stockpile depletion remains a concern for both nations.

## Future Projections
Military analysts warn that even with current interception success rates, could penetrate defenses if launched en masse. Israel’s options now balance between continuing launcher destruction campaigns and seeking accelerated U.S. munitions deliveries – a solution complicated by American production bottlenecks and global demand for missile defense systems.

Written by Keith Jacobs

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