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Trump Teases 2025 ‘Transition’ Amid Recession Fears

President Trump’s approach to addressing economic uncertainties has drawn attention for its blend of realism and strategic framing. During a Fox News interview, Trump declined to rule out a potential 2025 recession, framing it as a necessary “transition” period while his policies aim to “bring wealth back to America” through tariffs and workforce reductions. This stance contrasts with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick’s bullish dismissal of recession fears, highlighting internal divisions within the administration.

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– : Trump has imposed fluctuating tariffs on allies like Canada and Mexico, using them as bargaining chips to address issues like immigration and drug trafficking. While markets reacted negatively (the S&P 500 fell 3% in one week), Honda’s decision to shift Civic production to Indiana demonstrates early corporate adaptation to his policies.
– : Trump argues that short-term instability is inevitable when pursuing structural changes, stating: “China has a hundred-year perspective. We have a quarter… You have to do what’s right”.

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– : Shapiro praised Trump’s State of the Union strategy of highlighting bipartisan issues (e.g., veteran support, childcare costs) to force Democratic cooperation, calling it a “smart tactic” that disarms opposition.
– : While supporting Trump’s deregulatory agenda, Shapiro warns tariffs risk becoming “a tax on American consumers” and stresses the need for a strong economy to sustain political success.

The administration faces challenges: consumer confidence hit a 3½-year low in February, while economists now estimate a 20% chance of recession within 12 months. Trump’s balancing act—acknowledging economic headwinds while projecting confidence in his policies—reflects an attempt to manage expectations amid global market uncertainties and domestic policy shifts.

Written by Keith Jacobs

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